游戏邦在:
杂志专栏:
gamerboom.com订阅到鲜果订阅到抓虾google reader订阅到有道订阅到QQ邮箱订阅到帮看

FrontierVille有实力复兴zynga的活跃用户基数优势吗?

发布时间:2010-06-23 08:36:28 Tags:,,,

仅仅12天FrontierVille就为zynga赢得了740万左右的活跃用户。作为全球社交游戏开发者的领先者,zynga旗下并不乏高活跃用户的游戏,但是基于目前zynga旗下各大游戏活跃用户数迅速下滑的处境,酝酿许久的西部狂野游戏FrontierVille在推出的短短12天就获得了超过700万的活跃用户,人们不禁要联想FrontierVille有重新复兴zynga活跃用户基数的实力吗?

边城

边城

zynga在今年推出的游戏并不多,只有三款,Treasure Isle在首月狂飙突进以后,长期稳定在2400万左右,另外一款Poker Blitz则反响不是那么令人满意。而第三款,千呼万唤才出来的FrontierVille从刚开始的增长势头似乎有复兴zynga游戏超级用户基数的希望。

目前来讲zynga的市场已经不仅仅局限于美国本土,包括日本和中国都是它开拓的对象,而除了社交网站,手机领域也成为了zynga的关注重点,这些都将为zynga开拓出更多的游戏推广渠道。

zynga活跃用户走势图

zynga活跃用户走势图

They’ve done it again: with FrontierVille, a new mix of the farming and city building genres set in pioneer days, Zynga has added some 7.4 million monthly active users to its total. That’s in only 12 days since the game’s launch, with the most significant growth taking place over just the last four days.

Zynga became the world’s top social gaming company for a reason: it’s masterful at growing an audience. However, FrontierVille’s huge success also comes at an interesting time for the company.

Last Friday, it hit a milestone of another sort, dipping below 200 million monthly active users for the first time since it passed the mark last November.

On Saturday and Sunday, Zynga recovered, inching back over 210 million MAU. But the company has shed users steadily for several months now, a fact that suggests its MAU could sink further yet.

In the past, we’ve also pointed out that Zynga’s daily active user count is more stable than MAU — an important point, since DAU is a more significant measurement of how many serious players a game has. But while Zynga’s DAU has held steady at times, it’s also declining over the long term; in February Zynga’s DAU peaked at over 70 million, while today it’s around 50 million.

Zynga is often the target of criticism within the gaming community. However, its success rate with players is not at fault here. The company has found hits in two thirds of its releases this year.

The thing is that there have, in fact, been only three releases: FrontierVille, Treasure Isle (currently its third-largest property) and Poker Blitz, which never took off, but also wasn’t heavily promoted.

That’s a rate of one game every two months, assuming Zynga doesn’t release another before the end of June (we have no expectation that it will). By contrast, Zynga released at least one new game a month in 2009, including its mega-hit, FarmVille. With bimonthly releases like Treasure Isle, which topped out near 30 million MAU, Zynga’s traffic could still stabilize at over 100 million MAU; but Isle is just one data point.

At its new, slower pace, Zynga resembles the rest of the social gaming world. We’ve seen fewer releases from most of the major developers this year. Development is becoming a more rigorous, expensive process, and since Facebook’s notification changes, each release has a harder time becoming successful — meaning even more investment to ensure that each release does well.

While it’s possible that a game like FrontierVille could blow past Treasure Isle to become the new FarmVille, capturing more than 60 million players and bringing Zynga back to its previous heights, it’s more likely that we’ll see both Zynga and its competitors pursuing other ways to grow traffic this year.

Those may include localization for foreign-language markets, new markets like Japan and China, new platforms like the iPhone, and acquisitions of smaller publishers. We’ve actually seen Zynga work toward each of these goals, most recently with a huge investment from Japan’s Softbank and the announcement that it would put FarmVille on the iPhone and iPad.

It’s also probable that Zynga, along with its peers, is constantly learning how to better monetize users, meaning that even declining traffic numbers could still return higher profits to the company. However, without being able to look at the company’s balance sheets, it’s impossible to tell whether it’s preserving last year’s presumably high profit margins.


上一篇:

下一篇: