据Tellabs最近公布的研究结果表明，像威瑞森和AT&T这类美国移动运营商如果不尽快实现业务转型，它们今后三年的业务运营将难以为继。

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Tellabs的报告指出，iPhone和Android等手机设备的巨大成功，推动了移动互联网的爆炸式发展，但也给移动网络运营商带来了许多压力。据游戏邦了解，为了满足用户日益扩大的数据使用需求，运营商不得不增加许多额外容量或者限制一定的数据流。但这种策略并非长久之计，因为目前的手机通话、短信及数据服务等有限的费用，并不能为运营商带来可观的收益。

Tellabs公司CEO兼总裁罗布·普伦（Rob Pullen）表示，用户对网络容量的巨大需求，将使移动运营商难以应对。要摆脱无利可图的困境，运营商最好想法为移动网络提供更多增值服务。

游戏邦还获悉，当前的移动运营商已处于这种左右为难的窘境，如果不以普遍价格为用户提供数据包，就有可能在市场竞争中处于下风；但如果继续这么做的话，则很可能难以维持企业的生存和发展。

该报告还显示，几乎所有的移动运营商都受困于这种局面，美国运营商的利润率将在2013年见底，亚太地区（包括日本、澳洲等）运营商将在2013年底出现这种情况，西欧运营商也将在2015年遭遇同样的命运。

Tellabs的报告认为，如果要扭转形势，运营商应该在移动网络中部署一个强大而智能的分析工具，以便正确评估每名用户对宽带网络的实际使用情况，除此之外，运营商还得发展一些新型运营模式，提供更多增值服务，创造额外的营收来源。（本文为游戏邦/gamerboom.com编译，转载请注明来源：游戏邦）

Study: US Mobile Carriers To Be Unprofitable By 2013, Thanks to iPhone and Android

US mobile operators like Verizon and AT&T are not capable of surviving the iPhone age and unless they transform their networks and business models, they would become an endangered race within the next three years, according to a new study conducted by Tellabs.

The explosion of mobile internet usage, thanks to astounding success of iPhone and Android devices, has put increased pressure on mobile networks. Operators are currently coping with this increased data usage by adding additional capacity or by throttling data hogs. However this strategy is not sustainable in the long term, since the current business model of charging for calls and SMS and offering data for a flat fee wont bring in adequate revenues.

According to Rob Pullen, CEO and President of Tellabs:

Mobile operators can spend themselves into a hole well before users run out of hunger for capacity. Our study shows that simply adding capacity or ‘dumb pipes’ is an unsustainable business. To avoid the ‘end of profit,’ operators must bring intelligence to their networks – it’s critical to carrier survival.

The mobile operators are currently in a catch 22 situation, if they don’t offer flat fee based data packages to their users they risk losing out to competitors and if they do offer such packages they are at a risk of becoming unsustainable enterprises.

According to the report, all mobile operators are facing these risks, but US operators will likely reach the end of their profitability date by 2013. Operators in Asia/Pacific (Japan, Australia etc) will do so by the end of 2013, with Western European operators joining their Asian and US counterparts by the start of 2015.

In order to reverse this trend, the report suggests that mobile operators would have to become intelligent carriers instead of dumb pipes for the data. One way to make a network intelligent would be to deploy powerful analytics to make networks smart so they deliver the right bandwidth to the right user at the right time. In addition to this, operators will have to look for new business models and new value added services to have additional revenue streams.（source:socialtimes）