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市场调研公司IDC对2011年科技行业的五大预言

发布时间:2010-12-06 14:31:13 Tags:,,,,

近日,市场调研公司IDC公布了一份2011年科技行业报告,“变革”是IDC对该行业明年发展趋势的一个关键定义词。IDC的报告指出,云技术、移动领域和市场分析工具是推动这一领域变革的重要原因。该公司高级副总裁兼首席分析师弗兰克·吉恩斯(Frank Gens)表示,“除了开辟新市场,创造新的发展机遇,这种产业格局重组将颠覆之前大家对行业领袖及其建树等方面的设想。”

Predictions from IDC

Predictions from IDC

*云技术服务将重振IT服务的消费信心。IDC预测,人们明年在IT云技术服务上的支出将比其他IT服务要高5倍,同比2010年增长30%;预计在其他IT服务上的支出也会稳步增长,比如硬件消费同比2010年将增长7.8%,软件消费同比增长5.3%;

*非PC移动平台销量将超过个人电脑。据IDC预测,在未来18个月内,手机及平板电脑等非PC移动平台的销量将超过个人电脑。

*手机应用下载量将达250亿次。预计2011年,手机应用下载量将近250亿次,远超2010年的100亿次;据游戏邦了解,IDC还预测手机应用生态圈将发生数字内容、用户服务发行渠道的重组。

*商务社交软件市场规模将持续扩大。到2014年,商务社交软件的增长率将达38%;在2011年底,将有超过40%的中小企业使用社交网站;IDC另外还预测,明年将是这一领域大型企业收购小型公司的高峰期。

*社交网站及手机平台成为王道。社交网站和手机平台将重塑零售、金融理财和医疗服务的行业格局。预计将有更多用户通过价格比拼应用来进行商品交易,并通过手机银行付费;到2011年将有14%的美国成人用户使用手机医疗服务应用。(本文为游戏邦/gamerboom.com编译,转载请注明来源:游戏邦)

Sick of 2011 predictions yet? We’ve got just a few more. Analyst firm IDC released its 2011 predictions report this week, too late to be included in our earlier analyst firms predictions round-up. “Transformation” is IDC’s watchword for next year. According to the firm, transformation driven by the cloud, mobility and analytics. “In addition to creating new markets and opportunities, this restructuring will overthrow nearly every assumption about who the industry’s leaders will be and how they establish and maintain leadership,” says Frank Gens, senior vice president and chief analyst at IDC.

•IT Spending Will Recover – IT spending recovery driven by cloud services. IDC predicts spending on IT cloud services will grow at a rate five times higher than the rest of the IT industry – a 30% increase over 2010. The firm also expects to see steady growth in other IT spending, such as hardware (7.8% year-over-year growth) and software (5.3% growth).

•Non-PC Mobile Devices Will Out Sell PCs – IDC expects non-PC mobile devices such as smart phone and tables will out sell PCs within the next 18 months.

•25 Billion Mobile Apps Will Be Sold – IDC expects nearly 25 billion mobile apps will be sold in 2011, up from 10 billion in 2010, and that the mobile app ecosystem will restructure the channels for digital content and services for consumers.

•Social Business Software Market Will Grow, Consolidate – IDC forecasts a growth rate of 38% through 2014 for social business software, and believes more than 40% of SMBs will be using social networks by the end of 2011. The firm also expects 2011 to be marked by consolidation as major vendors acquire smaller players.

•Social Networks and Mobile Shake-Up Verticals – Retail, financial services and healthcare will all be shaken up by social networking and mobile devices. IDC predicts consumers will use price comparison apps to shop for better deals, demand mobile banking and payments and 14% of adult Americans will use a mobile health application in 2011.(source:readwriteweb)


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